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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Barcelona

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Home Win · ATM
24%
Best 3.07
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BAR
52%
Best 2.06
Model pick
AH Away 0
@ 1.68
Fair odds
1.92
book 1.68 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 52%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 70%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 30%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 23.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 48%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.