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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Celta Vigo — Alaves

Match Celta Vigo vs Alaves March 22, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 15:15
3:4
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 2.00
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.81
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.68
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
1.82 – 1.73
Δ +0.09
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Celta Vigo enters this La Liga clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing signs of resilience in recent matches. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Alaves' struggles to find consistency on the road, suggesting a tactical advantage for the hosts. Expect a controlled tempo with Celta leveraging set-piece threats and a compact block to limit Alaves' attacking chances.

  • Home side's stronger form and quality gap
  • Defensive discipline vs away's offensive challenges
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · ALA 4-4-2
Subs used · CEL
54' Carreira ↑ · Nunez
54' Lopez ↑ · Mingueza
69' Rueda ↑ · Iglesias
69' Duran ↑ · El Abdellaoui
82' Aspas ↑ · Aidoo
Subs used · ALA
46' Suarez ↑ · Alena
46' Diabate ↑ · Boye
46' Guridi ↑ · Ibanez
46' Rebbach ↑ · Pacheco
90+4' Koski ↑ · Martinez

📊 Statistics

CEL 34 ALA
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.73
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
16
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 3 – 4
F. Jutgla
Assist · J. Rodriguez · 1–0
19'
22'
Jon Pacheco
Yellow Card
H. Alvarez
Assist · F. Jutgla · 2–0
27'
F. Jutgla
Assist · H. Sotelo · 3–0
37'
45'
T. Martinez
Assist · A. Perez · 3–1
Half-time · 3 – 1
46'
D. Suarez ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 1
46'
I. Diabate ↓ · L. Boye ↑
Substitution 2
46'
J. Guridi ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 3
46'
A. Rebbach ↓ · J. Pacheco ↑
Substitution 4
Javi Rodríguez
Yellow Card
45+3'
50'
A. Perez
Assist · T. Martinez · 3–2
S. Carreira ↓ · A. Nunez ↑
Substitution 1
54'
F. Lopez ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑
Substitution 2
54'
Fer López
Yellow Card
65'
J. Rueda ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑
Substitution 3
69'
P. Duran ↓ · J. El Abdellaoui ↑
Substitution 4
69'
74'
T. Martinez
Assist · A. Rebbach · 3–3
78'
A. Rebbach
Assist · V. Parada · 3–4
I. Aspas ↓ · J. Aidoo ↑
Substitution 5
82'
90+4'
Denis Suárez
Yellow Card
90+4'
V. Koski ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.00 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.81 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.68 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.38 41% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.10 45% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.92 42% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.45 67% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.50 21% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.75 16% Cashed +3.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.29 16% Cashed +2.29 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +4.49u +26% ROI