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Home › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Levante

Predictions by Market: Rayo Vallecano vs Levante

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Mon 16 Mar · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Levante
Levante
L W W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid Referee César Soto Grado, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RAY
56%
Best 1.70
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · LEV
21%
Best 5.08
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.40
Fair odds
4.87
book 5.40 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (56%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.5%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.01
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 11.90
Show model details
Implied probability 8.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 44%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAY – LEV @ 5.40
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →