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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Villarreal

Predictions Alaves vs Villarreal March 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Mar · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Home Win · ALA
20%
Best 3.45
Draw
26%
Best 3.33
Away Win · VIL
54%
Best 2.22
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.85
book 2.10 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +13.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.4%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.