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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Sevilla

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Sevilla

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 15:15
5:2
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Spotify Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
77%
Best 1.29
Draw
16%
Best 6.00
Away Win · SEV
7%
Best 9.90
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.80
Fair odds
6.33
book 6.80 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.8%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 47%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.8%
Odds 28.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.12
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – SEV @ 6.80
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →