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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Getafe

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Getafe

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Mon 02 Mar · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
L D W L W Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
77%
Best 1.35
Draw
18%
Best 4.85
Away Win · GET
5%
Best 9.80
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.11
Fair odds
2.92
book 3.11 · +6.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +6.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.53
Show model details
Implied probability 18.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.3%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.11
Show model details
Implied probability 32.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 13.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.3%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
REA – GET @ 3.11
+6.6%
Edge
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