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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Girona

Predictions Alaves vs Girona February 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Mon 23 Feb · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Home Win · ALA
36%
Best 2.45
Draw
29%
Best 2.97
Away Win · GIR
35%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.65
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.65 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 64% · EV +5.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 35.2%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 36.1%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.