Match Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid February 15, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid arrive with a clear quality edge and a defensive solidity that could stifle Rayo Vallecano’s attack. Despite Rayo’s slight home momentum, Atletico’s superior overall strength and pressing edge suggest they will control key phases. The match may lean towards a compact, tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Atletico’s defensive discipline vs Rayo’s moderate offensive threat
Home side’s recent mixed form vs Atletico’s resilience
Odds hint at a moderately paced game with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-1-4-1 · ATM 4-5-1

RAY · 4-1-4-1 4-5-1 · ATM

19 Frutos

Subs used · RAY

64'

Vertrouwd ↑ ·

de Frutos ↓

64'

Diaz ↑ ·

Palazon ↓

64'

Garcia ↑ ·

Perez ↓

74'

Nteka ↑ ·

Akhomach ↓

83'

Lopez ↑ ·

Gumbau ↓

Subs used · ATM

56'

Le Normand ↑ ·

Mendoza ↓

56'

Vargas ↑ ·

Ruggeri ↓

56'

Alvarez ↑ ·

Baena ↓

63'

Llorente ↑ ·

Cardoso ↓

63'

Lookman ↑ ·

Lenglet ↓

📊 Statistics

RAY 3 – 0 ATM

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 0

29'

▮

Johnny Cardoso

Yellow Card

F. Perez

Assist · A. Ratiu · 1–0

⚽

40'

O. Valentin

2–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 2 – 0

52'

▮

Rodrigo Mendoza

Yellow Card

56'

⇄

R. Le Normand ↓ · R. Mendoza ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

O. Vargas ↓ · M. Ruggeri ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⇄

J. Alvarez ↓ · A. Baena ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⇄

M. Llorente ↓ · J. Cardoso ↑

Substitution 4

63'

⇄

A. Lookman ↓ · C. Lenglet ↑

Substitution 5

J. Vertrouwd ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

P. Diaz ↓ · I. Palazon ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

A. Garcia ↓ · F. Perez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

70'

▮

Marcos Llorente

Yellow Card

R. Nteka ↓ · I. Akhomach ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

N. Mendy

Assist · A. Garcia · 3–0

⚽

76'

U. Lopez ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Álvaro García

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano beat Atletico Madrid 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Perez (40'), O. Valentin (45'), N. Mendy (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.73 units (Brier 0.273).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.88	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.84	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.92	—	52%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.16	—	44%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.03	—	40%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.38	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	77%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	70%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.74	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.62	—	16%	Cashed	+3.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.24	—	16%	Cashed	+2.24	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.73u	+4% ROI

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled