P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Spain › La Liga › Girona — Barcelona

Girona vs Barcelona 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Mon 16 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W L W L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.63 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.12 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.76 – 2.88
Δ −0.12
Possession
29% – 71%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.91 — +4.6% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a strong winning streak, contrasting Girona's mixed recent form. The visitors' potent attack faces a resilient Girona defense, but Barcelona's pressing and creativity likely tilt the balance. Girona's home momentum and compact block could limit chances, yet the overall tactical matchup favors an away side pushing for control.

  • Barcelona's offensive firepower vs Girona's defense
  • Girona's home resilience vs Barcelona's pressing intensity
  • Form advantage and quality gap favoring visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 1.91 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GIR 4-2-3-1 · BAR 4-3-3
GIR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · BAR 13 Gazzaniga 2 Rincón 12 Reis 17 Blind 4 Martínez 23 Martín 20 Witsel 15 Tsygankov 11 Lemar ⚽ 21 Gil 19 Vanat 13 García 23 Koundé 5 Cubarsí ⚽ 24 García 18 Martín 16 López 21 Jong 20 Olmo 10 Yamal 7 Torres 11 Raphinha
Subs used · GIR
68' Roca ↑ · Gil ↓
68' Beltran ↑ · Lemar ↓
73' Echeverri ↑ · Vanat ↓
90+2' Frances ↑ · Martin ↓
Subs used · BAR
63' Balde ↑ · Martin ↓
63' Bardghji ↑ · Raphinha ↓
73' Araujo ↑ · Garcia ↓
73' Lewandowski ↑ · Torres ↓
80' Bernal ↑ · Olmo ↓

Statistics

GIR 2 – 1 BAR
29%
Possession (%)
71%
2.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.88
13
Total Shots
26
9
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
11
11
Shots Inside Box
17
3
Corner Kicks
7
4
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
6
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
41'
▮
Eric García
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
59'
⚽
P. Cubarsi
Assist · J. Kounde · 0–1
T. Lemar
Assist · V. Vanat · 1–1
⚽
61'
63'
⇄
A. Balde ↓ · G. Martin ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
R. Bardghji ↓ · Raphinha ↑
Substitution 2
J. Roca ↓ · B. Gil ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
F. Beltran ↓ · T. Lemar ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
C. Echeverri ↓ · V. Vanat ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
R. Araujo ↓ · E. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
R. Lewandowski ↓ · F. Torres ↑
Substitution 4
80'
⇄
M. Bernal ↓ · D. Olmo ↑
Substitution 5
84'
▮
Jules Koundé
Yellow Card
F. Beltran
Assist · J. Roca · 2–1
⚽
86'
A. Frances ↓ · I. Martin ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+2'
Axel Witsel
Yellow Card
▮
90+9'
Joel Roca
Red Card
▮
90+9'
90+9'
▮
Marc Bernal
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Girona beat Barcelona 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 13, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Cubarsi (59'), T. Lemar (61'), F. Beltran (86'). Joel Roca was sent off in the 90+9' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.60 units (Brier 0.302).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.91 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.12 — 45% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Away Win 1.40 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.13 — 90% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.15 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.09 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.34 — 75% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 — 90% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 3.28 — 27% Cashed +2.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 29.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.70 — 10% Cashed +6.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 5.50 — 10% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +6.60u +39% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GIR – BAR @ 1.91
+4.6%
Edge
Forecast →