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Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Real Sociedad

Predictions Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad February 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Home Win · REA
73%
Best 1.33
Draw
18%
Best 5.60
Away Win · RSO
9%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.22
Fair odds
2.12
book 2.22 · +4.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +4.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.70
Show model details
Implied probability 17.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8.7%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.7%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.7%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.43
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.