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Home England Premier League Burnley — Arsenal

Predictions Burnley vs Arsenal November 1, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Home Win · BUR
6%
Best 12.09
Draw
17%
Best 5.91
Away Win · ARS
77%
Best 1.27
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.30
Fair odds
3.84
book 4.30 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.26
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 5.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 5.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BUR – ARS @ 4.30
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →