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Home › England › Premier League › Burnley — Arsenal

Predictions by Market: Burnley vs Arsenal

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Chris Kavanagh, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BUR
6%
Best 12.09
Draw
17%
Best 5.91
Away Win · ARS
77%
Best 1.27
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.30
Fair odds
3.84
book 4.30 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.26
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 5.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 5.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BUR – ARS @ 4.30
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →