Match Sevilla vs Alaves February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Sevilla vs Alaves Preview

Sevilla holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, where their compact defense could frustrate Alaves' less potent attack. Despite similar recent form, Sevilla's stronger defensive setup and home momentum suggest they can control the pace and limit Alaves' chances. Expect a tactical battle with Sevilla pressing to exploit their offensive edge while maintaining solidity at the back.

Sevilla's defensive resilience vs Alaves' moderate attack
Home crowd support boosting Sevilla's confidence
Likely controlled tempo favoring Sevilla's structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SEV 3-5-2 · ALA 4-4-2

SEV · 3-5-2 4-4-2 · ALA

9 Adams

Subs used · SEV

55'

A. Carmona ↑ ·

Azpilicueta ↓

61'

Mendy ↑ ·

Sow ↓

70'

Romero ↑ ·

Maupay ↓

70'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Nianzou ↓

81'

Peque ↑ ·

Adams ↓

81'

Gattoni ↑ ·

Agoume ↓

Subs used · ALA

46'

Guevara ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

46'

Perez ↑ ·

Calebe ↓

46'

Ibanez ↑ ·

Blanco ↓

84'

Guridi ↑ ·

Alena ↓

📊 Statistics

SEV 1 – 1 ALA

25%

Possession (%)

75%

0.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

62%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 1 – 1

Joan Jordán

Red Card

▮

-5'

Juanlu Sánchez

Yellow Card

▮

Juanlu Sánchez

Yellow Card

▮

16'

Juanlu Sánchez

Red Card

▮

16'

D. Sow

1–0

⚽

42'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

A. Guevara ↓ · D. Suarez ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

A. Perez ↓ · Calebe ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

P. Ibanez ↓ · A. Blanco ↑

Substitution 3

J. A. Carmona ↓ · C. Azpilicueta ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

55'

60'

⚽

T. Martinez

Assist · C. Alena · 1–1

B. Mendy ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

I. Romero ↓ · N. Maupay ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

C. Ejuke ↓ · T. Nianzou ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

Peque ↓ · A. Adams ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

F. Gattoni ↓ · L. Agoume ↑

Substitution 6

⇄

81'

84'

⇄

J. Guridi ↓ · C. Alena ↑

Substitution 4

Nemanja Gudelj

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Peque Fernández

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Batista Mendy

Yellow Card

▮

90+11'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Sevilla and Alaves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 75% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.06 to 0.27. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 4, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 3 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Sow (42'), T. Martinez (60'). Joan Jordán was sent off in the -5' minute. Juanlu Sánchez was sent off in the 16' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.17 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.21	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.64	—	62%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
BTTS No	1.81	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.46	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.09	—	43%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.73	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.82	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	64%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	82%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.11	—	87%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.70	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.94	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.17u	−19% ROI