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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Sociedad — Elche

Predictions by Market: Real Sociedad vs Elche

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 20:00
3:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RSO
52%
Best 1.65
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · ELC
26%
Best 5.10
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.33
Fair odds
2.06
book 2.33 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (74%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 25.9%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 25.9%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
RSO – ELC @ 2.33
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →