Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.52 — +5.7% better than the market.

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and solid home momentum, having shown resilience in recent matches. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Betis’ more vulnerable backline, suggesting a tactical advantage in controlling the game tempo. Betis’ recent form is patchy, and they face a tough task breaking down Atletico’s compact block.

Home defensive strength vs away attack mismatch
Atletico’s steady form and home edge
Likely controlled pace with moderate goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.52 ✗ Lost

AI 70% Implied 66% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · BET 4-3-3

ATM · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · BET

22 Lookman

Subs used · ATM

46'

Le Normand ↑ ·

Ruggeri ↓

46'

Baena ↑ ·

Almada ↓

46'

Sorloth ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

55'

Griezmann ↑ ·

Mendoza ↓

70'

Vargas ↑ ·

Lookman ↓

Subs used · BET

70'

Altimira ↑ ·

Fornals ↓

79'

Deossa ↑ ·

Bakambu ↓

87'

Bartra ↑ ·

Fidalgo ↓

87'

Riquelme ↑ ·

Antony ↓

Statistics

ATM 0 – 1 BET

65%

Possession (%)

35%

0.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 0 – 1

Matteo Ruggeri

Yellow Card

▮

25'

28'

⚽

Antony

Assist · A. Ezzalzouli · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

R. Le Normand ↓ · M. Ruggeri ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Baena ↓ · T. Almada ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

A. Sorloth ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

A. Griezmann ↓ · R. Mendoza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

55'

Ademola Lookman

Yellow Card

▮

56'

O. Vargas ↓ · A. Lookman ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

70'

⇄

S. Altimira ↓ · P. Fornals ↑

Substitution 1

71'

▮

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli

Yellow Card

79'

⇄

N. Deossa ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑

Substitution 2

Alejandro Baena

Yellow Card

▮

83'

87'

⇄

M. Bartra ↓ · A. Fidalgo ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

R. Riquelme ↓ · Antony ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Real Betis won 1–0 away at Atletico Madrid. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Antony (28').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.23 units (Brier 0.396).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.88	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.73	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.29	—	41%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	45%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.52	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.85	—	30%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.03	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	20%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.00	—	11%	Cashed	+6.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.05	—	11%	Cashed	+4.05	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+9.23u	+54% ROI

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled