Match Elche vs Barcelona January 31, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.00 — +7.0% better than the market.

Barcelona enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, boasting a potent attack against Elche's moderate defense. Despite Elche's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game, Barcelona's offensive firepower and tactical discipline should challenge the hosts' compact block. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring goals, with Barcelona likely pressing high and exploiting set-piece chances.

Barcelona's superior attacking index suggests control in final third
Elche's home form offers resilience but may struggle to contain pressure
Match pace hints at an open game with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 54% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ELC 3-4-1-2 · BAR 4-3-3

ELC · 3-4-1-2 4-3-3 · BAR

9 Silva

Subs used · ELC

56'

Redondo Solari ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

60'

Neto ↑ ·

Diangana ↓

60'

Boayar ↑ ·

Silva ↓

74'

Petrot ↑ ·

Affengruber ↓

74'

Cepeda ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

Subs used · BAR

46'

Rashford ↑ ·

Raphinha ↓

62'

Lewandowski ↑ ·

Torres ↓

62'

Bernal ↑ ·

Olmo ↓

84'

Araujo ↑ ·

Kounde ↓

85'

Casado ↑ ·

Fermín ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 1 – 3 BAR

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

6.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 3

⚽

Lamine Yamal

Assist · D. Olmo · 0–1

A. Rodriguez

Assist · G. Valera · 1–1

⚽

29'

John Donald

Yellow Card

▮

38'

40'

⚽

F. Torres

Assist · F. de Jong · 1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

46'

⇄

M. Rashford ↓ · Raphinha ↑

Substitution 1

F. Redondo Solari ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

M. Neto ↓ · G. Diangana ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

A. Boayar ↓ · Andre Silva ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

60'

62'

⇄

R. Lewandowski ↓ · F. Torres ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

M. Bernal ↓ · D. Olmo ↑

Substitution 3

72'

⚽

M. Rashford

1–3

L. Petrot ↓ · D. Affengruber ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

L. Cepeda ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

74'

Rodrigo Mendoza

Yellow Card

▮

76'

84'

⇄

R. Araujo ↓ · J. Kounde ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

M. Casado ↓ · Fermín ↑

Substitution 5

90'

▮

Frenkie de Jong

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Barcelona won 3–1 away at Elche. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 6.30 to 0.95. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lamine Yamal (6'), A. Rodriguez (29'), F. Torres (40'), M. Rashford (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.15 units (Brier 0.065).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.00	—	54%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	64%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.97	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.45	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Away Win	1.37	—	74%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.23	—	74%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Draw	6.25	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	89%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.27	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	27.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.10	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.25	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.15u	−36% ROI