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Home › Spain › La Liga › Espanyol — Alaves

Predictions by Market: Espanyol vs Alaves

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Fri 30 Jan · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ESP
57%
Best 1.96
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · ALA
16%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
5.22
book 5.50 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (81%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 56.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 15.7%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.2%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.5%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 15.7%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.3%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.4%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ESP – ALA @ 5.50
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →