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Levante vs Elche 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Fri 23 Jan · 20:00
3:2
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.64 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.86 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.10 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.63 – 0.65
Δ +1.98
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +11.6% better than the market.

Levante hosts Elche in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall profile and better recent form. Levante's home advantage is tempered by their defensive struggles against Elche's slightly more potent attack. The match hints at a cautious tempo with moderate goal expectations, as both sides show signs of defensive solidity but limited offensive firepower.

  • Elche's superior form and quality suggest control in midfield battles.
  • Levante's home resilience may keep the scoreline tight.
  • Expect a compact game with few clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-2-3-1 · ELC 4-5-1
Subs used · LEV
46' Cortes ↑ · Losada ↓
74' A. Olasagasti ↑ · Alvarez ↓
74' Espi ↑ · Etta Eyong ↓
Subs used · ELC
62' Josan ↑ · Neto ↓
70' Silva ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
70' Mendoza ↑ · Diangana ↓
70' Boayar ↑ · Santiago ↓
85' Sanchez ↑ · Aguado ↓

Statistics

LEV 3 – 2 ELC
42%
Possession (%)
58%
2.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
26
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
2
18
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
13
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

18 · 3 – 2
11'
⚽
A. Rodriguez
0–1
Carlos Álvarez
Yellow Card
▮
38'
Half-time · 0 – 1
P. Cortes ↓ · I. Losada ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
P. Martinez
Assist · J. Toljan · 1–1
⚽
50'
55'
▮
Léo Pétrot
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
Josan ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 1
67'
▮
Aleix Febas
Yellow Card
Dela
Assist · P. Martinez · 2–1
⚽
68'
70'
⇄
Andre Silva ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
R. Mendoza ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
A. Boayar ↓ · Y. Santiago ↑
Substitution 4
71'
▮
André Silva
Yellow Card
J. A. Olasagasti ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
C. Espi ↓ · K. Etta Eyong ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
Iván Romero
Yellow Card
▮
84'
85'
⇄
A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
A. Boayar
Assist · A. Sanchez · 2–2
A. Matturro
Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 3–2
⚽
90'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Levante beat Elche 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 0.65. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Rodriguez (11'), P. Martinez (50'), Dela (68'), A. Boayar (90'), A. Matturro (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.33 units (Brier 0.271).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.64 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.31 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.09 — 41% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.81 — 47% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Home Win 2.48 — 33% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.83 — 33% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Away Win 3.27 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 61% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.55 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.36 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 — 67% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.63 — 22% Cashed +2.63 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.33u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LEV – ELC @ 2.10
+11.6%
Edge
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