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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Oviedo

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Oviedo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 15:15
3:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
87%
Best 1.14
Draw
11%
Best 9.50
Away Win · OVI
2%
Best 16.18
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 2.41
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.41 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +8.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 3.5 is more likely (55%), but Under 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 10.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.4%
Odds 31.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 2.4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 13.3%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BAR – OVI @ 2.41
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →