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Home Spain La Liga Elche — Sevilla

Match Elche vs Sevilla January 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Mon 19 Jan · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.36
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.78
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.62 – 2.89
Δ −1.27
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Elche arrives with a clear home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a notable edge in overall quality. Their offensive play is well-matched against Sevilla's defense, suggesting chances to break through. Sevilla, struggling on the road and with patchy form, may find it tough to impose their style here.

  • Elche's home comfort and pressing edge
  • Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities against Elche's attack
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a tactical, controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ELC 3-4-2-1 · SEV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · ELC
67' Mendoza ↑ · Neto
68' Diaby ↑ · Josan
68' Santiago ↑ · Diangana
80' Pedrosa ↑ · Valera
87' Redondo Solari ↑ · Febas
Subs used · SEV
46' Nianzou ↑ · Sanchez
46' Adams ↑ · Peque
63' Ejuke ↑ · Romero
63' Sierra ↑ · Sow
67' Suazo

📊 Statistics

ELC 22 SEV
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.62
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.89
10
Total Shots
25
5
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
11
7
Shots Inside Box
13
9
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 2 – 2
A. Febas
Assist · M. Neto · 1–0
14'
Víctor Chust
Yellow Card
21'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
T. Nianzou ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Adams ↓ · Peque ↑
Substitution 2
G. Valera
Assist · M. Aguado · 2–0
55'
59'
Batista Mendy
Yellow Card
63'
C. Ejuke ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 3
63'
M. Sierra ↓ · D. Sow ↑
Substitution 4
R. Mendoza ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 1
67'
67'
G. Suazo ↓ ·
Substitution 5
B. Diaby ↓ · Josan ↑
Substitution 2
68'
Y. Santiago ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 3
68'
75'
A. Adams
2–1
Yago Santiago
Yellow Card
80'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Valera ↑
Substitution 4
80'
F. Redondo Solari ↓ · A. Febas ↑
Substitution 5
87'
90'
A. Adams (P)
Penalty · 2–2
Bambo Diaby
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Elche and Sevilla drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.89 to 1.62. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 10, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Febas (14'), G. Valera (55'), A. Adams (75'), A. Adams (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.21 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.36 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.78 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.21 44% Cashed +1.21 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 48% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.68 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.35 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.39 77% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.00 23% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Away Win 3.30 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.21u +1% ROI