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Espanyol vs Girona 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Iosu Galech Apezteguia, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.96 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.17 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.24 – 1.90
Δ −0.66
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.96 — +13.9% better than the market.

Espanyol holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after a strong recent run, while Girona's defense looks vulnerable against Espanyol's sharp attack. The home side's pressing edge and superior form suggest they can control the pace and create chances. Expect a tactical battle where Espanyol's compact block and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

  • Home advantage with better defensive solidity
  • Espanyol's offensive pressure vs Girona's leaky defense
  • Recent form favors Espanyol's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.96 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-2-3-1 · GIR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ESP
46' Jofre ↑ · Dolan ↓
56' Sanchez ↑ · El Hilali ↓
56' Terrats ↑ · Exposito ↓
70' Garcia ↑ · Milla ↓
81' Roca ↑ · Lozano ↓
Subs used · GIR
73' Asprilla ↑ · Lemar ↓
73' Frances ↑ · Gil ↓
82' Roca ↑ · Tsygankov ↓

Statistics

ESP 0 – 2 GIR
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.90
14
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
4
17
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
5
Yellow Cards
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 0 – 2
-5'
▮
Joel Roca
Yellow Card
31'
▮
Arnau Martínez
Yellow Card
Omar El Hilali
Yellow Card
▮
45'
45'
⚽
V. Vanat (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Jofre ↓ · T. Dolan ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
R. Sanchez ↓ · O. El Hilali ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
R. Terrats ↓ · Exposito ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
56'
K. Garcia ↓ · P. Milla ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
73'
⇄
Y. Asprilla ↓ · T. Lemar ↑
Substitution 1
73'
⇄
A. Frances ↓ · B. Gil ↑
Substitution 2
Rubén Sánchez
Yellow Card
▮
76'
76'
▮
Paulo Gazzaniga
Yellow Card
Jofre Carreras
Yellow Card
▮
81'
A. Roca ↓ · P. Lozano ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
Antoniu Roca
Yellow Card
▮
82'
82'
⇄
J. Roca ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑
Substitution 3
87'
▮
Álex Moreno
Yellow Card
Carlos Romero
Yellow Card
▮
89'
89'
▮
Vladyslav Vanat
Yellow Card
90'
⚽
V. Vanat (P)
Penalty · 0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Girona won 2–0 away at Espanyol. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 1.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Vanat (45'), V. Vanat (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.03 units (Brier 0.259).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.96 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.17 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.85 — 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 — 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.95 — 42% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.40 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.95 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.39 — 72% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 91% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 — 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.14 — 17% Cashed +2.14 Cashed
Away Win 4.40 — 17% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.03u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
ESP – GIR @ 1.96
+13.9%
Edge
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