Match Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano January 18, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Celta Vigo holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Rayo Vallecano, who struggle to match their defensive solidity. The hosts' pressing and compact block should limit Rayo's attacking threat, while Celta's sharper offensive transitions hint at a controlled pace. Recent form is balanced but Celta’s home edge and tactical discipline suggest they can secure at least a draw.

Strong home defensive shape
Effective pressing limits away chances
Moderate pace favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · RAY 4-3-3

CEL · 3-4-3 4-3-3 · RAY

15 Zaragoza ⚽

Subs used · CEL

62'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

63'

Roman ↑ ·

Sotelo ↓

71'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

71'

Rueda ↑ ·

Mingueza ↓

83'

Burcio ↑ ·

Starfelt ↓

Subs used · RAY

61'

Nteka ↑ ·

Gumbau ↓

61'

Alemao ↑ ·

Pacha ↓

68'

Vertrouwd ↑ ·

Martin ↓

78'

Trejo ↑ ·

de Frutos ↓

79'

Perez ↑ ·

Palazon ↓

📊 Statistics

CEL 3 – 0 RAY

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 3 – 0

Iago Aspas

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

S. Carreira

Assist · H. Alvarez · 1–0

⚽

40'

Hugo Álvarez

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 1 – 0

B. Zaragoza (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

54'

Hugo Sotelo

Yellow Card

▮

58'

▮

Gerard Gumbau

Yellow Card

59'

▮

Carlos Martín

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

R. Nteka ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

Alemao ↓ · Pacha ↑

Substitution 2

W. Swedberg ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

M. Roman ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Óscar Mingueza

Yellow Card

▮

66'

▮

Isi Palazón

Yellow Card

66'

▮

Nobel Mendy

Red Card

68'

⇄

J. Vertrouwd ↓ · C. Martin ↑

Substitution 3

M. Fernandez ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

J. Rueda ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

78'

⇄

O. Trejo ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑

Substitution 4

79'

⇄

F. Perez ↓ · I. Palazon ↑

Substitution 5

J. Rueda

3–0

⚽

79'

H. Burcio ↓ · C. Starfelt ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Celta Vigo beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.83 to 1.18. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Carreira (40'), B. Zaragoza (54'), J. Rueda (79'). Nobel Mendy was sent off in the 66' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.20 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.09	—	55%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.70	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.86	—	53%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.34	—	42%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.15	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	—	68%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	55%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	90%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	78%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.33	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.93	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.26	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.20u	−25% ROI

Match Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled