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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Alaves

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Alaves January 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 15:15
1:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Home Win · ATM
74%
Best 1.37
Draw
19%
Best 4.78
Away Win · ALA
7%
Best 8.90
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.37
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.37 · +2.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 43% · EV +2.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.