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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Elche — Villarreal

Match Elche vs Villarreal January 3, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 17:30
1:3
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.27
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.85
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.66
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.13 – 1.52
Δ −0.39
Possession
78% – 22%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall squad and a more potent attack compared to Elche. Despite Elche's decent home form and pressing edge, Villarreal's offensive threat against Elche's defense suggests a tactical challenge for the hosts. The match may see a moderate tempo, with both sides capable of scoring but Villarreal likely to control key moments.

  • Villarreal's superior attacking firepower
  • Elche's home momentum and resilience
  • Balanced pace hinting at a competitive but not overly open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · VIL 4-4-2
Subs used · ELC
61' Diaby ↑ · Affengruber
71' Diangana ↑ · Aguado
79' Josan ↑ · Nunez
79' Mendoza ↑ · Neto
79' Boayar ↑ · Mir
Subs used · VIL
67' Moreno ↑ · Perez
68' Cardona ↑ · Pepe
76' Oluwaseyi ↑ · Mikautadze
76' Macia ↑ · Parejo
80' Foyth ↑ · Mourino

📊 Statistics

ELC 13 VIL
78%
Possession (%)
22%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.52
14
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
6
10
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
11
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

20 · 1 – 3
7'
A. Moleiro
Assist · G. Mikautadze · 0–1
13'
G. Mikautadze
Assist · N. Pepe · 0–2
M. Neto
Assist · A. Febas · 1–2
30'
39'
Ayoze Pérez
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 2
Germán Valera
Yellow Card
50'
B. Diaby ↓ · D. Affengruber ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Aleix Febas
Yellow Card
66'
Pedro Bigas
Yellow Card
66'
66'
Santi Comesaña
Yellow Card
67'
G. Moreno ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 1
68'
S. Cardona ↓ · N. Pepe ↑
Substitution 2
G. Diangana ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 2
71'
76'
T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · G. Mikautadze ↑
Substitution 3
76'
C. Macia ↓ · D. Parejo ↑
Substitution 4
Josan ↓ · A. Nunez ↑
Substitution 3
79'
R. Mendoza ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 4
79'
A. Boayar ↓ · R. Mir ↑
Substitution 5
79'
80'
J. Foyth ↓ · S. Mourino ↑
Substitution 5
83'
A. Pedraza
Assist · S. Cardona · 1–3
88'
Sergi Cardona
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.27 52% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 56% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.66 58% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.32 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.11 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.63 52% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.71 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.38 78% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 34% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 79% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.62 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.36 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.89u −17% ROI