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Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Real Betis

Predictions Real Madrid vs Real Betis January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 15:15
5:1
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
W D W L W Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Home Win · REA
70%
Best 1.50
Draw
19%
Best 4.55
Away Win · BET
11%
Best 6.11
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.01
book 2.20 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (50%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.6%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 4.65
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
REA – BET @ 2.20
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →