Elche vs Rayo Vallecano 4:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.40 — +7.7% better than the market.

Elche holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, with a solid defensive setup likely to challenge Rayo Vallecano's attack. The home side's pressing and compact block could stifle Rayo’s less effective offense, while Elche's form suggests resilience despite some recent draws. Expect a cautious pace with limited goal-scoring chances given the defensive strengths and recent low-scoring trends.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack struggles
Elche’s better recent form and home comfort
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 71% +0.40u

+40%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · RAY 4-2-3-1

ELC · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · RAY

10 Mir

Subs used · ELC

12'

Neto ↑ ·

Fort ↓

80'

Josan ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

80'

Santiago ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

80'

Petrot ↑ ·

Bigas ↓

89'

Boayar ↑ ·

Mir ↓

Subs used · RAY

33'

Perez ↑ ·

Balliu ↓

60'

Diaz ↑ ·

Valentin ↓

75'

Felipe ↑ ·

Mendy ↓

75'

Gumbau ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

75'

Vertrouwd ↑ ·

Pacha ↓

Statistics

ELC 4 – 0 RAY

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 4 – 0

H. Fort

Assist · A. Rodriguez · 1–0

⚽

M. Neto ↓ · H. Fort ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

12'

22'

▮

Nobel Mendy

Yellow Card

33'

⇄

F. Perez ↓ · I. Balliu ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 1 – 0

57'

▮

Unai López

Yellow Card

60'

⇄

P. Diaz ↓ · O. Valentin ↑

Substitution 2

A. Rodriguez

Assist · P. Bigas · 2–0

⚽

67'

G. Valera

Assist · A. Rodriguez · 3–0

⚽

70'

75'

⇄

Luiz Felipe ↓ · N. Mendy ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

G. Gumbau ↓ · U. Lopez ↑

Substitution 4

75'

⇄

J. Vertrouwd ↓ · Pacha ↑

Substitution 5

Aleix Febas

Yellow Card

▮

79'

Josan ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

Y. Santiago ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

L. Petrot ↓ · P. Bigas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

82'

▮

Florian Lejeune

Yellow Card

Josan

Yellow Card

▮

84'

A. Boayar ↓ · R. Mir ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

M. Neto

Assist · Josan · 4–0

⚽

90'

Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Elche beat Rayo Vallecano 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 0.93. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.40 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Fort (6'), A. Rodriguez (67'), G. Valera (70'), M. Neto (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.13 units (Brier 0.215).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.56	—	48%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.44	—	41%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
BTTS No	1.86	—	53%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.66	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.79	—	48%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.26	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.47	—	67%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.19	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.58	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	—	89%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	21%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.27	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.13u	+1% ROI

Elche vs Rayo Vallecano 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled