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Home › Spain › La Liga › Osasuna — Alaves

Predictions by Market: Osasuna vs Alaves

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Osasuna
Osasuna
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee César Soto Grado, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · OSA
39%
Best 2.29
Draw
29%
Best 2.90
Away Win · ALA
33%
Best 3.65
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.59
book 2.70 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (61%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.4%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OSA – ALA @ 2.70
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →