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Home Spain La Liga Osasuna — Alaves

Predictions Osasuna vs Alaves December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Osasuna
Osasuna
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Home Win · OSA
39%
Best 2.29
Draw
29%
Best 2.90
Away Win · ALA
33%
Best 3.65
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.59
book 2.70 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (61%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.4%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OSA – ALA @ 2.70
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →