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Home › Spain › La Liga › Oviedo — Celta Vigo

Oviedo vs Celta Vigo 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 13:00
0:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.86 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.71 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.14 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.57 – 0.64
Δ −0.07
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.07 — +14.0% better than the market.

Celta Vigo enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack compared to Oviedo’s compact but vulnerable defense. Oviedo’s recent form shows signs of struggle, while Celta’s slightly better momentum and tactical discipline could exploit home defensive gaps. Expect a controlled pace with limited goals, as both sides show cautious tendencies and the odds favor a tight, low-scoring encounter.

  • Celta’s offensive pressure against Oviedo’s leaky defense
  • Home side’s recent inconsistent form
  • Moderate tempo suggesting a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.07 ✓ Cashed
AI 37% Implied 33% +2.07u
+207%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · CEL 3-4-3
Subs used · OVI
71' Hassan ↑ · Brekalo ↓
82' Cazorla ↑ · Reina ↓
82' Rondon ↑ · Chaira ↓
86' Ilic ↑ · Vinas ↓
Subs used · CEL
63' Moriba ↑ · Beltran ↓
63' Aspas ↑ · Zaragoza ↓
76' Rodriguez ↑ · Fernandez ↓
77' El Abdellaoui ↑ · Swedberg ↓
83' Alvarez ↑ · Jutgla ↓

Statistics

OVI 0 – 0 CEL
55%
Possession (%)
45%
0.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.64
10
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
7
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

12 · 0 – 0
Santiago Colombatto
Yellow Card
▮
25'
Lucas Ahijado
Yellow Card
▮
33'
Half-time · 0 – 0
60'
▮
Manu Fernández
Yellow Card
63'
⇄
I. Moriba ↓ · F. Beltran ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
I. Aspas ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑
Substitution 2
H. Hassan ↓ · J. Brekalo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
76'
⇄
J. Rodriguez ↓ · M. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
77'
⇄
J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑
Substitution 4
S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
82'
S. Rondon ↓ · I. Chaira ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
83'
⇄
H. Alvarez ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑
Substitution 5
L. Ilic ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Oviedo and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.53 units (Brier 0.266).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.86 — 60% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.71 — 64% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Away Win 2.14 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.34 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.02 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 45% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.74 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.07 — 37% Cashed +2.07 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.31 — 81% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 83% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.50 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 13% Cashed +8.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.60 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.90 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +6.53u +38% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OVI – CEL @ 3.07
+14.0%
Edge
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