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Home › Spain › La Liga › Girona — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Girona vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 13:00
0:3
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIR
14%
Best 4.70
Draw
22%
Best 3.90
Away Win · ATM
64%
Best 1.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.88
book 4.33 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 14.3%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 14.3%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GIR – ATM @ 4.33
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →