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Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Espanyol

Predictions by Market: Athletic Club vs Espanyol

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Mon 22 Dec · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BIL
47%
Best 1.85
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · ESP
27%
Best 4.70
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.14
Fair odds
1.90
book 2.14 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (73%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.2%
Odds 5.28
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ESP @ 2.14
+12.7%
Edge
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