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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Real Madrid

Predictions Alaves vs Real Madrid December 14, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Home Win · ALA
12%
Best 6.00
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · REA
65%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.67
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.67 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +8.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.3%
Odds 6.01
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.8%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.3%
Odds 4.54
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.