Sevilla vs Oviedo 4:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.95 — +14.1% better than the market.

Sevilla hosts Oviedo with a clear quality edge and a mild home advantage, despite recent struggles. Sevilla’s defensive solidity contrasts Oviedo’s moderate attacking threat, suggesting a tactical battle favoring the home side’s compact block. Oviedo’s steadier recent form and pressing could test Sevilla’s resilience, but the home momentum and stronger attack-defense matchup hint at a controlled game with limited goals.

Sevilla’s defensive strength vs Oviedo’s attack
Home edge in tactical discipline
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 51% +0.95u

+95%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 5-3-2 · OVI 4-2-3-1

SEV · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · OVI

10 Sánchez

Subs used · SEV

46'

Bueno ↑ ·

Sow ↓

77'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

77'

Sierra ↑ ·

Mendy ↓

86'

Jordan ↑ ·

Agoume ↓

Subs used · OVI

46'

Calvo ↑ ·

Ahijado ↓

46'

Fores ↑ ·

Chaira ↓

61'

Brekalo ↑ ·

Reina ↓

70'

Lopez ↑ ·

Alhassane ↓

79'

Agudin ↑ ·

Rondon ↓

Statistics

SEV 4 – 0 OVI

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 4 – 0

A. Adams

Assist · L. Agoume · 1–0

⚽

D. Sow

2–0

⚽

22'

Half-time · 2 – 0

M. Bueno ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

D. Calvo ↓ · L. Ahijado ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

A. Fores ↓ · I. Chaira ↑

Substitution 2

B. Mendy

Assist · A. Adams · 3–0

⚽

51'

Lucien Agoumé

Yellow Card

▮

59'

61'

⇄

J. Brekalo ↓ · A. Reina ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

J. Lopez ↓ · R. Alhassane ↑

Substitution 4

C. Ejuke ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

M. Sierra ↓ · B. Mendy ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

79'

⇄

P. Agudin ↓ · S. Rondon ↑

Substitution 5

82'

▮

David Carmo

Yellow Card

83'

▮

David Carmo

Yellow Card

83'

▮

David Carmo

Red Card

Joan Jordan ↓ · L. Agoume ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

C. Ejuke

Assist · Oso · 4–0

⚽

89'

Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Sevilla beat Oviedo 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 4, 7 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.97 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Adams (4'), D. Sow (22'), B. Mendy (51'), C. Ejuke (89'). David Carmo was sent off in the 83' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.59 units (Brier 0.207).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.95	—	59%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	60%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.99	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.28	—	35%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.40	—	59%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	84%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	61%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	87%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.72	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	17%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.32	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.59u	−9% ROI

Sevilla vs Oviedo 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled