P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Valencia

Match Atletico Madrid vs Valencia December 13, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.31
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.18
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.81
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.01 – 1.28
Δ −0.27
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Valencia's defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite a couple of setbacks, while Valencia's mixed results and lower offensive threat suggest a tough outing. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a controlled tempo with Atletico likely pressing for goals, though Valencia's disciplined approach may limit the scoring to moderate levels.

  • Home attacking advantage vs away defense
  • Stronger recent form and home momentum
  • Likely controlled pace with set-piece focus

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · VAL 3-5-2
Subs used · ATM
46' Le Normand ↑ · Molina
59' Gallagher ↑ · Gonzalez
59' Griezmann ↑ · Alvarez
59' Almada ↑ · Barrios
Subs used · VAL
55' Beltran ↑ · Lopez
71' Santamaria ↑ · Comert
72' Guerra ↑ · Ugrinic
82' Gaya ↑ · Vazquez
82' Ramazani ↑ · Pepelu

📊 Statistics

ATM 21 VAL
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.28
10
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
11
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
Koke
1–0
17'
Marc Pubill
Yellow Card
32'
Alexander Sørloth
Yellow Card
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
R. Le Normand ↓ · N. Molina ↑
Substitution 1
46'
55'
L. Beltran ↓ · D. Lopez ↑
Substitution 1
C. Gallagher ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 2
59'
A. Griezmann ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
59'
T. Almada ↓ · P. Barrios ↑
Substitution 4
59'
63'
L. Beltran
Assist · A. Almeida · 1–1
71'
B. Santamaria ↓ · E. Comert ↑
Substitution 2
72'
J. Guerra ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑
Substitution 3
A. Griezmann
Assist · M. Pubill · 2–1
74'
82'
J. Gaya ↓ · J. Vazquez ↑
Substitution 4
82'
L. Ramazani ↓ · Pepelu ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Hugo Duro
Yellow Card
Thiago Almada
Yellow Card
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.31 43% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.18 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 54% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 1.70 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.37 75% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 94% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 68% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.91 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.08 75% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 5.60 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 78% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.58 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.85 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.60u −33% ROI