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Home › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Girona

Predictions by Market: Elche vs Girona

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 13:00
3:0
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ELC
53%
Best 2.12
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · GIR
21%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.54
book 4.00 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +13.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.7%
Odds 12.30
Show model details
Implied probability 8.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 21%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ELC – GIR @ 4.00
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →