Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.36 — +13.3% better than the market.

Espanyol enters this La Liga clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall profile and a notable edge in offensive efficiency against Rayo Vallecano's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Rayo's cautious approach and defensive solidity could limit goal-scoring chances. Expect a tactical battle where Espanyol's pressing and home comfort might unlock opportunities.

Home side's attacking quality outmatches away defense
Rayo's compact block may slow the pace
Espanyol's recent wins boost confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.36 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-2-3-1 · RAY 4-2-3-1

ESP · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · RAY

9 Fernández ⚽

Subs used · ESP

56'

Pickel ↑ ·

Lozano ↓

80'

Terrats ↑ ·

Exposito ↓

80'

Garcia ↑ ·

Fernandez Jaen ↓

89'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Milla ↓

Subs used · RAY

52'

Camello ↑ ·

Gumbau ↓

70'

Garcia ↑ ·

de Frutos ↓

70'

Balliu ↑ ·

Perez ↓

86'

Nteka ↑ ·

Mendy ↓

Statistics

ESP 1 – 0 RAY

37%

Possession (%)

63%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.25

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

23 · 1 – 0

16'

▮

Unai López

Yellow Card

Pol Lozano

Yellow Card

▮

31'

R. Fernandez Jaen (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

39'

42'

▮

Nobel Mendy

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

50'

▮

Gerard Gumbau

Yellow Card

52'

⇄

S. Camello ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑

Substitution 1

C. Pickel ↓ · P. Lozano ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

63'

▮

Óscar Valentín

Yellow Card

64'

▮

Unai López

Yellow Card

64'

▮

Unai López

Red Card

70'

⇄

A. Garcia ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

I. Balliu ↓ · F. Perez ↑

Substitution 3

73'

▮

Josep Chavarría

Yellow Card

Urko González

Yellow Card

▮

76'

Tyrhys Dolan

Yellow Card

▮

77'

R. Terrats ↓ · Exposito ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

K. Garcia ↓ · R. Fernandez Jaen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

86'

⇄

R. Nteka ↓ · N. Mendy ↑

Substitution 4

Tyrhys Dolan

Yellow Card

▮

87'

Tyrhys Dolan

Red Card

▮

87'

▮

Augusto Batalla

Yellow Card

R. Sanchez ↓ · P. Milla ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

90+6'

▮

Iván Balliu

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Espanyol beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.25. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 12 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Fernandez Jaen (39'). Unai López was sent off in the 64' minute. Tyrhys Dolan was sent off in the 87' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.67 units (Brier 0.185).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.39	—	50%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.36	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	50%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.69	—	52%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.70	—	50%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.66	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.34	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	78%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.60	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	—	27%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	91%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.24	—	73%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Away Win	3.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.67u	−16% ROI

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled