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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Getafe

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Getafe

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 13:00
2:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
L D W L W Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
65%
Best 1.64
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · GET
12%
Best 5.88
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.77
book 4.10 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (74%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.97
Show model details
Implied probability 25.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.5%
Odds 6.38
Show model details
Implied probability 15.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.5%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
VIL – GET @ 4.10
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →