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Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BIL
21%
Best 2.86
Draw
27%
Best 3.18
Away Win · ATM
52%
Best 2.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.33 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (75%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.3%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.3%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
BIL – ATM @ 4.33
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →