Getafe vs Elche 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 6.50 — +13.0% better than the market.

Getafe hosts Elche in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and more potent attack. However, Getafe’s home defensive solidity could frustrate Elche’s forward line, setting the stage for a tactical battle. Recent form favors Getafe slightly, hinting at home momentum despite their struggles. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goal-scoring chances given both sides’ defensive focus and the odds suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Elche’s attacking threat vs Getafe’s compact defense
Home form providing slight momentum for Getafe
Low expected pace and goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 6.50 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 4-4-2 · ELC 5-3-2

GET · 4-4-2 5-3-2 · ELC

8 Arambarri ⚽

18 Sancris

9 Mayoral

Subs used · GET

65'

Rico ↑ ·

Nyom ↓

80'

Kamara ↑ ·

Sancris ↓

80'

Munoz ↑ ·

Femenia ↓

90'

Neyou ↑ ·

Mayoral ↓

Subs used · ELC

46'

Mendoza ↑ ·

Diangana ↓

61'

Aguado ↑ ·

Neto ↓

64'

Pedrosa ↑ ·

Fort ↓

71'

Mir ↑ ·

Silva ↓

72'

Santiago ↑ ·

Valera ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 0 ELC

34%

Possession (%)

66%

1.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 0

Luis Milla

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

R. Mendoza ↓ · G. Diangana ↑

Substitution 1

M. Arambarri

Assist · Kiko Femenia · 1–0

⚽

56'

61'

⇄

M. Aguado ↓ · M. Neto ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

A. Pedrosa ↓ · H. Fort ↑

Substitution 3

D. Rico ↓ · A. Nyom ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

71'

⇄

R. Mir ↓ · Andre Silva ↑

Substitution 4

72'

⇄

Y. Santiago ↓ · G. Valera ↑

Substitution 5

73'

▮

Rodrigo Mendoza

Yellow Card

Djené

Yellow Card

▮

78'

A. Kamara ↓ · Alex Sancris ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

Javier Munoz ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

86'

▮

Marc Aguado

Yellow Card

Y. Neyou ↓ · B. Mayoral ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Getafe beat Elche 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.06 to 0.55. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Arambarri (56').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.87 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.52	—	46%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
BTTS No	1.64	—	65%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.74	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.65	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.33	—	36%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.38	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.45	—	73%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Away Win	4.00	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.06	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	66%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 2.5	3.00	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.14	—	83%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.57	—	36%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	6.40	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.87u	−23% ROI

Getafe vs Elche 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled