P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Espanyol

Predictions by Market: Celta Vigo vs Espanyol

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Espanyol
Espanyol
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CEL
41%
Best 2.05
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · ESP
33%
Best 3.65
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.89
Fair odds
1.70
book 1.89 · +11.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +11.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (67%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
CEL – ESP @ 1.89
+11.1%
Edge
Forecast →