P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Barcelona — Alaves

Predictions Barcelona vs Alaves November 29, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:15
3:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
Home Win · BAR
80%
Best 1.22
Draw
15%
Best 6.58
Away Win · ALA
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.57
Fair odds
6.78
book 7.57 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.57
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.8%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.9%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.06
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – ALA @ 7.57
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →