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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Alaves

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Alaves

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:15
3:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
80%
Best 1.22
Draw
15%
Best 6.58
Away Win · ALA
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.57
Fair odds
6.78
book 7.57 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.57
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 33%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.8%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.9%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.06
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – ALA @ 7.57
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →