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Home › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Elche vs Real Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ELC
9%
Best 6.93
Draw
18%
Best 5.28
Away Win · REA
73%
Best 1.40
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.34
Fair odds
2.27
book 2.34 · +3.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 44% · EV +3.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (56%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 8.5%
Odds 8.70
Show model details
Implied probability 11.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 8.5%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ELC – REA @ 2.34
+3.3%
Edge
Forecast →