P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Espanyol — Sevilla

Predictions by Market: Espanyol vs Sevilla

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Mon 24 Nov · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ESP
54%
Best 2.00
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · SEV
19%
Best 3.92
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.69
book 4.20 · +13.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +13.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (73%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 54%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.43
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.3%
Odds 3.89
Show model details
Implied probability 25.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.41
Show model details
Implied probability 29.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 19.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ESP – SEV @ 4.20
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →