Match Girona vs Alaves November 8, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.70 — +9.3% better than the market.

Girona hosts Alaves in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by a stronger defensive record. Girona’s home advantage is moderate but their recent form shows some inconsistency, while Alaves arrives with better momentum. Expect a tactical battle with Alaves likely to press higher and exploit Girona’s defensive gaps.

Alaves’ defensive solidity challenges Girona’s attack
Moderate home edge for Girona, but away form is stronger
Odds suggest a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 59% +0.70u

+70%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GIR 4-4-1-1 · ALA 4-4-2

GIR · 4-4-1-1 4-4-2 · ALA

19 Vanat

Subs used · GIR

63'

Roca ↑ ·

Gil ↓

71'

Stuani ↑ ·

Vanat ↓

71'

Ruiz ↑ ·

Ounahi ↓

85'

Rincon ↑ ·

Tsygankov ↓

85'

E. Solis Romero ↑ ·

Witsel ↓

Subs used · ALA

46'

Vicente ↑ ·

Alena ↓

46'

Guridi ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

46'

Rebbach ↑ ·

Calebe ↓

81'

Morcillo ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

88'

Ibanez ↑ ·

Yusi ↓

📊 Statistics

GIR 1 – 0 ALA

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 0

V. Tsygankov

Assist · B. Gil · 1–0

⚽

16'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

C. Vicente ↓ · C. Alena ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

J. Guridi ↓ · M. Diaz ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

A. Rebbach ↓ · Calebe ↑

Substitution 3

56'

▮

Abderrahman Rebbach

Yellow Card

J. Roca ↓ · B. Gil ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

68'

▮

Denis Suárez

Yellow Card

C. Stuani ↓ · V. Vanat ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

A. Ruiz ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

81'

⇄

D. Morcillo ↓ · D. Suarez ↑

Substitution 4

84'

▮

Carlos Vicente

Yellow Card

H. Rincon ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

J. E. Solis Romero ↓ · A. Witsel ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

88'

⇄

P. Ibanez ↓ · Yusi ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Girona beat Alaves 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.58 to 0.86. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Tsygankov (16').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.29 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.70	—	64%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	1.90	—	58%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.21	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.34	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.54	—	32%	Cashed	+1.54	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.78	—	32%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.59	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.18	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.04	—	38%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.41	—	60%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	83%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	87%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.35	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.29u	−13% ROI