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Home › Spain › La Liga › Espanyol — Villarreal

Predictions by Market: Espanyol vs Villarreal

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ESP
26%
Best 2.80
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · VIL
49%
Best 2.45
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.95
Fair odds
2.58
book 2.95 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (61%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 26.1%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 13.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 26.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ESP – VIL @ 2.95
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →