P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Levante

Atletico Madrid vs Levante 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 17:30
3:1
Full-time
Levante
Levante
L W W W L Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 2.08 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.34 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.72 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.92 – 1.19
Δ +1.73
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.00 — +9.9% better than the market.

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong form and a significant quality edge over Levante. Their compact defensive block and potent attacking index suggest they can control the game tempo and create multiple chances. Levante’s defensive struggles and inconsistent form away from home make them vulnerable, especially against Atletico’s pressing and set-piece threat.

  • Home side’s solid recent results and tactical discipline
  • Levante’s defensive lapses against high-pressure teams
  • Likely moderate to high pace given goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.00 ✗ Lost
AI 16% Implied 14% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · LEV 4-4-2
ATM · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · LEV 13 Oblak 14 Llorente 2 M. Gimenez 17 Hancko 3 Ruggeri 20 Simeone 8 Barrios 6 Koke 10 Baena 9 Sorloth 19 Alvarez 13 Ryan 22 Toljan 4 Dela 2 Moreno 23 Sanchez ⚽ 24 Alvarez 5 Elgezabal 16 Arriaga 8 A. Olasagasti 7 Brugue 21 Eyong
Subs used · ATM
61' Almada ↑ · Sorloth ↓
61' Griezmann ↑ · Barrios ↓
73' Gonzalez ↑ · Simeone ↓
79' Molina ↑ · Ruggeri ↓
79' Gallagher ↑ · Baena ↓
Subs used · LEV
74' Koyalipou ↑ · A. Olasagasti ↓
74' Morales ↑ · Brugue ↓
85' Rey ↑ · Elgezabal ↓
86' Garcia ↑ · Toljan ↓
86' Matturro ↑ · Sanchez ↓

Statistics

ATM 3 – 1 LEV
74%
Possession (%)
26%
2.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.19
25
Total Shots
6
10
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
2
16
Shots Inside Box
5
21
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
4
5
Fouls
6
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match events

18 · 3 – 1
Dela
Own goal · 1–0
⚽
12'
21'
⚽
M. Sanchez
Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 1–1
40'
▮
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
T. Almada ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
A. Griezmann ↓ · P. Barrios ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
A. Griezmann
Assist · M. Llorente · 2–1
⚽
61'
N. Gonzalez ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
74'
⇄
G. Koyalipou ↓ · J. A. Olasagasti ↑
Substitution 1
74'
⇄
J. Morales ↓ · R. Brugue ↑
Substitution 2
N. Molina ↓ · M. Ruggeri ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
C. Gallagher ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
A. Griezmann
3–1
⚽
80'
Nahuel Molina
Yellow Card
▮
84'
85'
⇄
O. Rey ↓ · U. Elgezabal ↑
Substitution 3
86'
⇄
V. Garcia ↓ · J. Toljan ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
A. Matturro ↓ · M. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 5
Marcos Llorente
Yellow Card
▮
87'
José María Giménez
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Atletico Madrid beat Levante 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 1.19. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 6, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 21 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Dela (12'), M. Sanchez (21'), A. Griezmann (61'), A. Griezmann (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.50 units (Brier 0.081).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.08 — 56% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.34 — 46% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.72 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.76 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.82 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.28 — 79% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 — 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.06 — 79% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 — 86% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.50 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 15.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.65 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.50u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
ATM – LEV @ 7.00
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →