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Getafe vs Girona 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Getafe
Getafe
Home · last 5 L D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 31 Oct · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Coliseum · Getafe Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 65% · book 1.70 ✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 46% · book 2.63 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.24 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.38 – 1.27
Δ +0.11
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.70 — +10.8% better than the market.

Getafe holds a clear quality edge and a notable home advantage, especially defensively, which could stifle Girona's attacking efforts. Despite Getafe's recent struggles, their compact block and disciplined defense at the Coliseum suggest a tight contest. Girona's better recent form and sharper offense hint at some attacking threat, but the match pace looks moderate, favoring a cautious approach.

  • Getafe's defensive solidity at home
  • Girona's recent form and offensive pressure
  • Moderate tempo likely to limit goal frenzy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.70 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 4-4-2 · GIR 4-1-4-1
Subs used · GET
46' Abqar ↑ · Djene ↓
46' Martin ↑ · Femenia ↓
46' Sancris ↑ · da Costa ↓
90+1' Neyou ↑ · Liso ↓
90+1' Kamara ↑ · Milla ↓
Subs used · GIR
59' Lemar ↑ · Tsygankov ↓
59' Gil ↑ · Roca ↓
76' Rincon ↑ · Martinez ↓
76' Stuani ↑ · Martin ↓

Statistics

GET 2 – 1 GIR
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
14
65%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 2 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Abqar ↓ · Djene ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
M. Martin ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Alex Sancris ↓ · C. da Costa ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
59'
⇄
T. Lemar ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
B. Gil ↓ · J. Roca ↑
Substitution 2
M. Martin
Assist · L. Milla · 1–0
⚽
72'
76'
⇄
H. Rincon ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
76'
⇄
C. Stuani ↓ · I. Martin ↑
Substitution 4
Juan Iglesias
Yellow Card
▮
83'
B. Mayoral
Assist · Alex Sancris · 2–0
⚽
86'
90'
⚽
C. Stuani (P)
Penalty · 2–1
Y. Neyou ↓ · A. Liso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+1'
A. Kamara ↓ · L. Milla ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
90+7'
▮
Daley Blind
Yellow Card
90+8'
▮
Azzedine Ounahi
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Getafe beat Girona 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 75% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3.

On the scoresheet: M. Martin (72'), B. Mayoral (86'), C. Stuani (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.07 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.70 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.63 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.24 — 53% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.60 — 54% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.74 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.25 — 35% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.75 — 27% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.50 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 6.75 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 82% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.10 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 — 53% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.18 — 88% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 — 82% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.82 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.20 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.50 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.07u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GET – GIR @ 1.70
+10.8%
Edge
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