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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Valencia

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 20:00
4:0
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
82%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 8.20
Away Win · VAL
4%
Best 15.75
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.30
Fair odds
3.19
book 3.30 · +3.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +3.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 13.8%
Odds 8.40
Show model details
Implied probability 11.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 28.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
REA – VAL @ 3.30
+3.4%
Edge
Forecast →