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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Elche

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Elche

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 17:30
3:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
79%
Best 1.20
Draw
16%
Best 7.45
Away Win · ELC
5%
Best 12.95
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.44
book 7.00 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.5%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.2%
Odds 14.10
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.2%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – ELC @ 7.00
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →