P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Getafe — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Getafe vs Real Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Getafe
Getafe
Home · last 5 L D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez · Getafe Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GET
9%
Best 7.18
Draw
20%
Best 4.48
Away Win · REA
71%
Best 1.46
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.13
book 3.40 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 32% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 8.7%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 20.3%
Odds 4.81
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 8.7%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 29%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GET – REA @ 3.40
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →