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Home › Spain › La Liga › Levante — Rayo Vallecano

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 16:30
0:3
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 70% · book 1.57 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.01 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 43% · book 2.88 ✗
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.85 – 1.74
Δ −0.89
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.57 — +9.1% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Levante hosts Rayo Vallecano in a match where the home side seems to have a slight edge. Our model suggests a 43.24% chance for a Levante win, with odds of 2.88 offering a decent return. The Double Chance 1X market also looks promising with a 69.5% estimated probability. Goals are expected, with Over 2.5 Goals having a 51.33% chance, making it an attractive option at odds of 2.01.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.57 ✗ Lost
AI 70% Implied 64% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-4-2 · RAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEV
74' A. Olasagasti ↑ · Vencedor ↓
74' Martinez ↑ · Alvarez ↓
74' Koyalipou ↑ · Eyong ↓
74' Espi ↑ · Brugue ↓
82' Morales ↑ · Moreno ↓
Subs used · RAY
63' Palazon ↑ · Alemao ↓
63' Garcia ↑ · Lopez ↓
74' Pacha ↑ · Perez ↓
75' Ciss ↑ · de Frutos ↓
82' Gumbau ↑ · Mendy ↓

Statistics

LEV 0 – 3 RAY
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.85
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.74
17
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
7
11
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
18
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 0 – 3
12'
⚽
J. de Frutos
Assist · U. Lopez · 0–1
25'
⚽
J. de Frutos
0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
63'
⇄
I. Palazon ↓ · Alemao ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
A. Garcia ↓ · U. Lopez ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⚽
A. Garcia
Assist · P. Chavarria · 0–3
J. A. Olasagasti ↓ · U. Vencedor ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
74'
P. Martinez ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
G. Koyalipou ↓ · Etta Eyong ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
C. Espi ↓ · R. Brugue ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
74'
⇄
Pacha ↓ · F. Perez ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
P. Ciss ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 4
J. Morales ↓ · M. Moreno ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
82'
⇄
G. Gumbau ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
▮
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano won 3–0 away at Levante. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.74 to 0.85. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. de Frutos (12'), J. de Frutos (25'), A. Garcia (65').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.16 units (Brier 0.204).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.57 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.01 — 51% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Home Win 2.88 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 76% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.51 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.54 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.61 — 31% Cashed +1.61 Cashed
BTTS No 2.11 — 44% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 94% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.65 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.94 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 70% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.08 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.89 — 31% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.16u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
LEV – RAY @ 1.57
+9.1%
Edge
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