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Home › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Athletic Club

Predictions by Market: Elche vs Athletic Club

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 12:00
0:0
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ELC
35%
Best 4.09
Draw
28%
Best 3.42
Away Win · BIL
37%
Best 1.97
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.78 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 63% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (65%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.2%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.39
Show model details
Implied probability 29.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.3%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
ELC – BIL @ 1.78
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →